Kenapa Bila USD Naik, Emas Turun ?

Jika US Dollar menjadi semakin kukuh, kita memerlukan duit dollar yang kurang untuk membeli sebarang komoditi termasuk emas yang sememangnya diletakkan di dalam USD.

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Jika US Dollar menjadi lemah, kita memerlukan lebih duit USD untuk membeli komoditi pada jumlah yang sama.

Ini yang menyebabkan harga emas kelihatan seolah-olah berkadar songsang dengan USD. Jika USD naik, harga emas turun, jika USD makin lemah pula, harga emas akan naik.

Dari Kitco :

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When the US Dollar gets stronger, it takes fewer dollars to buy any commodity that is priced in $USD. When the US Dollar gets weaker it takes more dollars to purchase the same commodity.

The price of all US Dollar denominated commodities, like gold, will change to reflect the fact that it will take fewer or more dollars to buy that commodity. So it’s quite possible, in fact it’s almost always the case that a portion of the change in the price of gold is really just a reflection of a change in the value of the US Dollar. Sometimes that portion is insignificant. But often the opposite is true where the entire change in the gold price is simply a mathematical recalculation of an ever-changing US Dollar value.

When the dollar gets strong, gold appears to go down, and vice versa. That accounts for part of the fluctuations that we see in the value of gold.

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The other part is an actual increase in the supply or demand for gold. If the price is higher when being measured not only in US Dollars, but also in Euros, Pounds Sterling, Japanese Yen, and every other major currency, then we know the gold demand is higher and it has actually increased in value.

Consequently, if gold is higher in US Dollars while at the same time cheaper in every other currency, then we can conclude that the US Dollar has weakened, and that gold has actually lost value in all other currencies. But the price, because it is being quoted in $USD will be higher and give the illusion of gold becoming more valuable. In such a case the devaluation of gold, due to increased supply on the market, is camouflaged by a weakened US Dollar.

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